Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 28, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens
4 - 0
Nantes

Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Nantes

All competitions

Last Game: Nantes 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 19.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
Lens	Draw	Nantes
56.74% ( -0)	23.73% ( -0.01)	19.53% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.76% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.71% (

0.06)

51.29% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.88% (

0.05)

73.12% (

-0.05)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.11% (

0.02)

17.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.32% (

0.03)

48.67% (

-0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.39% (

0.05)

40.61% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.79% (

0.04)

77.21% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Lens 56.72%

Nantes 19.53%

Draw 23.72%

Lens	Draw	Nantes
1-0 @ 12.5% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 56.72%	1-1 @ 11.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.72%	0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.53%