Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Nantes win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.