Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 6

Sep 23, 2023 at 4pm UK

Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau

Nantes
5 - 3
Lorient

Abline (42'), Comert (46'), Mohamed (55'), Mollet (83'), Simon (90+9' pen.)
Descamps (81')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Junior Kroupi (6'), Faivre (75'), Aiyegun (85')
Abergel (53'), Silva (90+7'), Faivre (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Nantes and Lorient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Clermont 0-1 Nantes
Sunday, September 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lorient

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Lorient 2-2 Monaco
Sunday, September 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.

Result
Nantes	Draw	Lorient
41.52% ( 0.4)	26.61% ( -0.02)	31.87% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 51.33% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.51% (

-0.05)

53.49% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.99% (

-0.04)

75.01% (

0.05)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.58% (

0.18)

25.42% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.76% (

0.25)

60.24% (

-0.24)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.82% (

-0.28)

31.18% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.49% (

-0.33)

67.51% (

0.34)

Score Analysis

Nantes 41.51%

Lorient 31.87%

Draw 26.61%

Nantes	Draw	Lorient
1-0 @ 10.85% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 41.51%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.87%