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Ligue 1

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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 3
Aug 27, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Lille

Lorient
4 - 1
Lille

Abergel (9', 9'), Ponceau (10', 10'), Faivre (62'), Le Goff (67')
Pagis (49'), Doucoure (57')
FT(HT: 4-0)
David (55')
Yoro (15'), Diakite (27'), Andre (51'), Yazici (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lorient and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Nice
Sunday, August 20 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Rijeka
Thursday, August 24 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 18.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.41%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
LorientDrawLille
18.05% (0.231 0.23)23.54% (0.277 0.28)58.4% (-0.51 -0.51)
Both teams to score 46.84% (-0.391 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.45% (-0.746 -0.75)52.55% (0.745 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.79% (-0.645 -0.65)74.21% (0.643 0.64)
Lorient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.95% (-0.16 -0.16)43.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.67% (-0.136 -0.14)79.33% (0.134 0.13)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.25% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)17.74% (0.452 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.57% (-0.791 -0.79)48.42% (0.79 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Lorient 18.05%
    Lille 58.39%
    Draw 23.54%
LorientDrawLille
1-0 @ 6.44% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.69% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 2.71% (0.056 0.06)
3-1 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
3-2 @ 1.14% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.05%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 7.64% (0.222 0.22)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 23.54%
0-1 @ 13.2% (0.19 0.19)
0-2 @ 11.41% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 9.63% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.58% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 5.55% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-3 @ 2.34% (-0.056 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-0.04 -0.04)
0-5 @ 0.98% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 58.39%

How you voted: Lorient vs Lille

Lorient
17.4%
Draw
43.5%
Lille
39.1%
23
Head to Head
Apr 2, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 29
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Cabella (13'), Zhegrova (89', 90+1')
Kone (77')
> Preview
Oct 2, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 9
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Diakite (9' og.), Le Bris (87')
David (78')
> Preview
Jan 19, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 20
Lille
3-1
Lorient
Lihadji (10'), Jenz (19' og.), Mandava (31')
Soumano (90+1')
> Preview
Sep 10, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Lorient
2-1
Lille
Lauriente (7'), Moffi (87')
Abergel (34'), Boisgard (90+1')
Yilmaz (25' pen.)
Gomes (44'), Xeka (90+2')
> Preview
Feb 21, 2021 4.05pm
Gameweek 26
Lorient
1-4
Lille
Hergault (23')
Lemoine (61'), Monconduit (70')
Gravillon (21' og.), Fonte (38'), Ikone (59'), Bradaric (90+1')
> Preview