Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.