Conference League
Aug 24, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Benjamin Andre 15' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 43' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 52' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 89' goal
  • goal Marco Pasalic 24'
  • yellowcard Matej Mitrovic 52'
  • yellowcard Nediljko Labrovic 81'

Lille vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result

Lille 61.17% (+0.23)
Draw 20.35% (+0.12)
HNK Rijeka 18.48% (-0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

58% (-1.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.88% (-1.08)
Under 2.5 38.12% (+1.09)
Over 3.5 39.61% (-1.16)
Under 3.5 60.39% (+1.17)
Over 4.5 21.82% (-0.94)
Under 4.5 78.17% (+0.94)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 87.95% (-0.27)
Under 0.5 12.05% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 62.46% (-0.57)
Under 1.5 37.54% (+0.58)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 65.94% (-1.00)
Under 0.5 34.05% (+1.00)
Over 1.5 29.26% (-1.09)
Under 1.5 70.74% (+1.10)

Score analysis

Lille 61.17%
Draw 20.35%
HNK Rijeka 18.48%
Lille
2-1 @ 9.9% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.19% (+0.28)
1-0 @ 8.68% (+0.36)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.48% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 3.76% (-0.13)
4-1 @ 3.7% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 3.43% (+0.04)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.56% (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 4.05%
Total : 61.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.35% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 5.33% (-0.13)
0-0 @ 4.1% (+0.21)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.09)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.35%
HNK Rijeka
1-2 @ 5.04% (-0.07)
0-1 @ 4.42% (+0.11)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.91% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 1.81% (-0.08)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 18.48%