UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 24, 2023 at 7pm UK

Stade Pierre-Mauroy

Lille
2 - 1
Rijeka

(Lille win 3-2 on aggregate)

Zhegrova (43'), Yoro (89')
Andre (15'), Zhegrova (52')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Pasalic (24')
Mitrovic (52'), Labrovic (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Lille and HNK Rijeka, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 2-0 Nantes
Sunday, August 20 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Rijeka 2-1 NK Lokomotiva
Sunday, August 20 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 1-0 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a HNK Rijeka win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
Lille	Draw	HNK Rijeka
61.17% ( 0.23)	20.35% ( 0.11)	18.48% ( -0.33)

Both teams to score 58% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.88% (

-1.08)

38.12% (

1.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.61% (

-1.16)

60.39% (

1.16)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.95% (

-0.26)

12.05% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.46% (

-0.57)

37.54% (

0.58)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.94% (

-0.99)

34.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.26% (

-1.09)

70.74% (

1.09)

Score Analysis

Lille 61.17%

HNK Rijeka 18.48%

Draw 20.35%

Lille	Draw	HNK Rijeka
2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 9.19% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.35) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 3.7% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 4.05% Total : 61.17%	1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.1% ( 0.21) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.35%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 2.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.92% Total : 18.48%