Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for B36 Torshavn had a probability of 18.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a B36 Torshavn win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.