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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 17, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
2 - 0
B36 Torshavn

Egilsson (14' og.), Grgic (82')
Veiga (30')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Nattestad (10')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between HNK Rijeka and B36 Torshavn.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: B36 Torshavn 1-3 Rijeka
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

B36 Torshavn

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: B36 Torshavn 1-3 Rijeka
Thursday, August 10 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Osijek205.00Caktas
2Rijeka103.33Goda
3Varazdin82.00Brodic
4Slaven Koprivnica71.40Crnac
5Hajduk Split62.00Livaja
6Istra 196151.25Erceg
7Rudes51.25Pasaricek
8Dinamo Zagreb41.33Ivanusec
9NK Lokomotiva41.33Stojkovic
10Gorica20.67Blummel

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 58.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for B36 Torshavn had a probability of 18.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.31%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a B36 Torshavn win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result
HNK RijekaDrawB36 Torshavn
58.9% (-1.473 -1.47)22.23% (0.588 0.59)18.88% (0.89 0.89)
Both teams to score 52.31% (-0.262 -0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54% (-1.168 -1.17)46% (1.172 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.69% (-1.115 -1.12)68.31% (1.12 1.12)
HNK Rijeka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-0.85899999999999 -0.86)15.27% (0.862 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-1.644 -1.64)43.97% (1.649 1.65)
B36 Torshavn Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.73% (0.316 0.32)38.27% (-0.309 -0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.97% (0.302 0.3)75.02% (-0.29599999999999 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    HNK Rijeka 58.89%
    B36 Torshavn 18.88%
    Draw 22.22%
HNK RijekaDrawB36 Torshavn
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.31% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.46% (-0.273 -0.27)
3-1 @ 6.21% (-0.208 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.04% (-0.227 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.92% (-0.191 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.079 -0.08)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.123 -0.12)
5-1 @ 1.1% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 58.89%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.29 0.29)
0-0 @ 5.84% (0.286 0.29)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.029 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.22%
0-1 @ 5.61% (0.32 0.32)
1-2 @ 5.07% (0.182 0.18)
0-2 @ 2.7% (0.175 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.62% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.88%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2023 7pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
B36 Torshavn
1-3
Rijeka
Agnarsson (33')
Egilsson (77'), Nielsen (86'), Przybylski (90')
Jankovic (41' pen.), Goda (48'), Radeljic (88')
Selahi (57')