Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 3
Aug 6, 2023 8.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Franjo Ivanovic 34' goal
  • Lindon Selahi 44' goal
  • Marco Pasalic 45'+1' goal
  • Bruno Goda 58' goal
  • Ivan Smolcic 60' yellowcard
  • Ante Majstorovic 61' goal
  • Alen Grgic 81' goal
  • yellowcard Sebastian Nebyla 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Ivan Calusic 46'
  • yellowcard Oleksandr Petrusenko 46'

HNK Rijeka vs NK Istra 1961 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Jul 30, 2023 8.05pm
Hajduk Split 1 - 0 Rijeka
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

NK Istra 1961

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Jul 29, 2023 8.00pm
Istra 1961 0 - 3 Dinamo Zagreb
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Ante Erceg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for NK Istra 1961 had a probability of 13.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a NK Istra 1961 win it was 0-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 65.21% (+0.43)
Draw 20.96% (-0.14)
NK Istra 1961 13.83% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.45% (-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.5% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 49.49% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 28.46% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 71.53% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 13.62% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 86.37% (+0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 85.58% (+0.13)
Under 0.5 14.41% (-0.13)
Over 1.5 57.67% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 42.33% (-0.25)

NK Istra 1961 Goals

Over 0.5 53.11% (-0.45)
Under 0.5 46.89% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 17.59% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 82.4% (+0.34)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 65.19%
Draw 20.96%
NK Istra 1961 13.83%
HNK Rijeka
1-0 @ 13.08% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 12.67% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 9.6% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 8.19% (+0.12)
3-1 @ 6.2% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.97% (+0.08)
4-1 @ 3% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 1.54% (+0.04)
5-1 @ 1.16% (+0.02)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 65.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.08)
0-0 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.64% (-0.06)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 20.96%
NK Istra 1961
0-1 @ 5.12% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 3.76% (-0.08)
0-2 @ 1.94% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 13.83%