Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 8.05pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion Poljud
  • Rokas Pukstas 50' goal
  • Marko Livaja 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Veldin Hodza 30'
  • yellowcard Ivan Lepinjica 61'
  • yellowcard Lindon Selahi 64'
  • yellowcard Nais Djouahra 84'

Hajduk Split vs HNK Rijeka - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hajduk Split

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Jul 21, 2023 7.00pm
Dinamo Zagreb 1 - 2 Hajduk Split
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Marko Livaja

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Jul 22, 2023 5.45pm
Rijeka 4 - 0 Rudes
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hajduk Split in this match.

Result

Hajduk Split 42.82% (-0.56)
Draw 27.79% (+0.12)
HNK Rijeka 29.39% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.84% (-0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.29% (-0.23)
Under 2.5 58.71% (+0.24)
Over 3.5 20.76% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 79.24% (+0.19)
Over 4.5 8.78% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 91.22% (+0.11)

Hajduk Split Goals

Over 0.5 72.86% (-0.40)
Under 0.5 27.14% (+0.41)
Over 1.5 37.47% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 62.53% (+0.53)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 64.29% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 35.71% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 27.51% (+0.23)
Under 1.5 72.48% (-0.23)

Score analysis

Hajduk Split 42.82%
Draw 27.78%
HNK Rijeka 29.39%
Hajduk Split
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.49% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.24% (-0.12)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.58% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 1.9% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.17% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.01% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 9.69% (+0.09)
2-2 @ 4.37% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.78%
HNK Rijeka
0-1 @ 9.98% (+0.15)
1-2 @ 6.7% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 5.14% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.3% (+0.04)
0-3 @ 1.76% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.5% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 29.39%