Croatian 1. HNL Gameweek 5
Aug 20, 2023 8.05pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Sergej Jakirovic 29' yellowcard
  • Marco Pasalic 38' goal
  • Stjepan Radeljic 41' yellowcard
  • Ivan Lepinjica 57' yellowcard
  • Nais Djouahra 78' goal
  • goal Vladan Bubanja 6'
  • yellowcard Mateo Maric 28'
  • yellowcard Jon Mersinaj 68'
  • yellowcard Silvio Gorican 80'

HNK Rijeka vs NK Lokomotiva - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Aug 6, 2023 8.00pm
Rijeka 6 - 0 Istra 1961
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Niko Jankovic

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last game
Aug 4, 2023 7.00pm
NK Lokomotiva 3 - 3 Varazdin
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Duje Cop

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a HNK Rijeka win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 13.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a HNK Rijeka win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.31%), while for a NK Lokomotiva win it was 0-1 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that HNK Rijeka would win this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 67.11% (-0.05)
Draw 19.58% (+0.01)
NK Lokomotiva 13.31% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.36% (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.17% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.82% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.82% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 67.18% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.66% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 83.34% (-0.03)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 87.59% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 12.4% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 61.7% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 38.29% (+0.01)

NK Lokomotiva Goals

Over 0.5 55.21% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 44.79% (-0.08)
Over 1.5 19.23% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 80.77% (-0.06)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 67.1%
Draw 19.58%
NK Lokomotiva 13.31%
HNK Rijeka
2-0 @ 12.1% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 11.59% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.72% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 8.42% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.83% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.42% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 67.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.56% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.9% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 19.58%
NK Lokomotiva
0-1 @ 4.46% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1% (-98.70)
Other @ 1.27%
Total : 13.31%