Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 2
Jul 29, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
SRC Velika Gorica

Gorica
1 - 0
NK Lokomotiva

Blummel (90+1')
Prsir (53')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kanizaj (71')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Gorica and NK Lokomotiva.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gorica

All competitions
Last Game: Gorica 1-1 Varazdin
Sunday, July 23 at 5.45pm in Croatian 1. HNL

NK Lokomotiva

All competitions
Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Istra 1961
Sunday, July 23 at 8pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for NK Lokomotiva had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest NK Lokomotiva win was 0-1 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gorica in this match.

Result
GoricaDrawNK Lokomotiva
43.54% (-0.505 -0.51)26.82% (0.097999999999999 0.1)29.64% (0.413 0.41)
Both teams to score 49.75% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.94% (-0.188 -0.19)55.06% (0.194 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.68% (-0.156 -0.16)76.32% (0.161 0.16)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.9% (-0.336 -0.34)25.1% (0.341 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.21% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)59.79% (0.474 0.47)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (0.209 0.21)33.59% (-0.205 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.229 0.23)70.23% (-0.224 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Gorica 43.54%
    NK Lokomotiva 29.64%
    Draw 26.82%
GoricaDrawNK Lokomotiva
1-0 @ 11.65% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
3-1 @ 4.05% (-0.066999999999999 -0.07)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.4% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.71% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.43% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 26.82%
0-1 @ 9.2% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.94% (0.062 0.06)
0-2 @ 5.02% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 2.52% (0.037 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 29.64%