Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gorica win with a probability of 51.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gorica win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.