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Ligue 1

Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 7
Sep 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Lens logo

Strasbourg
0 - 1
Lens


Emegha (63'), Doukoure (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Wahi (16')
Gradit (33'), Medina (45+3'), Mendy (54'), El Aynaoui (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 24 at 12pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 2-1 Toulouse
Sunday, September 24 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 37.21%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lens in this match.

Result
StrasbourgDrawLens
35.72% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)27.07% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)37.21% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.67% (0.068999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.32% (0.086999999999996 0.09)54.68% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24% (0.071000000000002 0.07)76% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.23% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.096000000000004 0.1)28.37% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.118 0.12)64.11% (-0.114 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Strasbourg 35.72%
    Lens 37.21%
    Draw 27.07%
StrasbourgDrawLens
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 6.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.23% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.04% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.3% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 10.46%
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 6.59% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.77% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.07% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 37.21%

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Lens

Strasbourg
48.6%
Draw
37.5%
Lens
13.9%
72
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