Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 5

Sep 17, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Meinau

Strasbourg
2 - 2
Montpellier

Lecomte (63' og.), Mothiba (69')
Delaine (12'), Guilbert (45+6'), Bakwa (76'), Vieira (90+4'), Emegha (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Khazri (35'), Nordin (40')
Adams (28'), Sylla (45+1'), Nordin (46'), Savanier (58'), Leroy (86'), Chotard (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Strasbourg

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Nice 2-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, September 3 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Montpellier
Sunday, September 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.66% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
41.31% ( -0.45)	26.04% ( -0.2)	32.66% ( 0.65)

Both teams to score 53.43% (

0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.1% (

0.99)

50.89% (

-0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.23% (

0.87)

72.77% (

-0.87)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.63% (

0.21)

24.37% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.23% (

0.3)

58.77% (

-0.3)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.65% (

0.92)

29.35% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.67% (

1.12)

65.33% (

-1.12)

Score Analysis

Strasbourg 41.3%

Montpellier HSC 32.66%

Draw 26.03%

Strasbourg	Draw	Montpellier HSC
1-0 @ 10.09% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.3%	1-1 @ 12.37% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( -0.29) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.13) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.66%