Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 35.82% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
| 35.82% ( | 26.54% ( | 37.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.38% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.49% ( | 52.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.83% ( | 74.17% ( |
| Montpellier HSC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.85% ( | 28.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.17% ( | 63.83% ( |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.91% ( | 27.09% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.53% ( | 62.47% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Montpellier HSC | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 9.67% ( 2-1 @ 8% ( 2-0 @ 6.13% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-0 @ 2.59% ( 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 4-1 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( 0-0 @ 7.63% ( 2-2 @ 5.23% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.96% ( 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0-2 @ 6.5% ( 1-3 @ 3.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.13% Total : 37.63% |