Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Lille
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Montpellier
  • Yusuf Yazici 2' goal
  • Angel Gomes 50' yellowcard
  • Alexsandro 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michel Der Zakarian 56'
  • yellowcard Becir Omeragic 90'+7'

Lille vs Montpellier HSC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lille

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 4.05pm
Lorient 4 - 1 Lille
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Jonathan David

Montpellier HSC

All competitions
Last game
Aug 27, 2023 2.00pm
Montpellier 1 - 3 Reims
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Teji Savanier

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 63.74%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 16.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.17%), while for a Montpellier HSC win it was 1-2 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result

Lille 63.74% ▼ (-1.17)
Draw 19.74% ▲ (+0.44)
Montpellier HSC 16.52% ▲ (+0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.01% ▲ (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.2% ▼ (-0.64)
Under 2.5 38.8% ▲ (+0.64)
Over 3.5 38.89% ▼ (-0.68)
Under 3.5 61.11% ▲ (+0.68)
Over 4.5 21.26% ▼ (-0.54)
Under 4.5 78.74% ▲ (+0.54)

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 88.45% ▼ (-0.50)
Under 0.5 11.55% ▲ (+0.50)
Over 1.5 63.52% ▼ (-1.08)
Under 1.5 36.48% ▲ (+1.08)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5 63.33% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 0.5 36.67% ▼ (-0.50)
Over 1.5 26.54% ▲ (+0.50)
Under 1.5 73.46% ▼ (-0.50)

Score analysis

Lille 63.74%
Draw 19.74%
Montpellier HSC 16.52%
Lille
2-1 @ 9.9% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 9.87% ▼ (-0.10)
1-0 @ 9.14% ▲ (+0.10)
3-1 @ 7.12% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▼ (-0.22)
4-1 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.15)
4-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.20)
3-2 @ 3.57% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.93% ▼ (-0.05)
5-1 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.10)
5-0 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 63.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.22)
2-2 @ 4.97% ▲ (+0.09)
0-0 @ 4.24% ▲ (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 19.74%
Montpellier HSC
1-2 @ 4.6% ▲ (+0.17)
0-1 @ 4.25% ▲ (+0.19)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.12)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.05)
1-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 16.52%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 31
Lille
Apr 16, 2023 12.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Montpellier
  • Jonathan David 70' goal
  • Remy Cabella 72' goal
  • goal Issiaga Sylla 24'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 6
Montpellier
Sep 4, 2022 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Lille
  • Elye Wahi 20' goal
  • goal Jonathan David 41'
  • goal Angel Gomes 57'
  • goal Jonathan David 90'+4'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Montpellier
Feb 12, 2022 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Lille
  • Jordan Ferri 46' yellowcard
  • Teji Savanier 83' yellowcard
  • Valere Germain 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 18'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 22'
  • yellowcard Angel Gomes 23'
  • yellowcard Zeki Celik 45'
  • yellowcard Xeka 64'
  • goal Xeka 77'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Lille
Aug 29, 2021 4.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Montpellier
  • Jose Fonte 25' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Andre 33' yellowcard
  • Xeka 43' yellowcard
  • Yusuf Yazici 45'+1' goal
  • Jonathan David 57' goal
  • yellowcard Junior Sambia 24'
  • yellowcard Jordan Ferri 25'
  • yellowcard Gaetan Laborde 34'
  • goal Gaetan Laborde 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Teji Savanier 56'
  • yellowcard Joris Chotard 59'
  • yellowcard Florent Mollet 70'
  • redcard Junior Sambia 73'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Lille
Apr 16, 2021 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Montpellier
  • Benjamin Andre 30' yellowcard
  • Zeki Celik 43' yellowcard
  • Reinildo Mandava 81' yellowcard
  • Luiz Araujo 85' goal
  • yellowcard Florent Mollet 14'
  • goal Andy Delort 21'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Montpellier
Dec 23, 2020 8.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Lille
  • Michel Der Zakarian 21' yellowcard
  • Salomon Sambia 50' yellowcard
  • Gaetan Laborde 57' goal
  • Mihailo Ristic 66' yellowcard
  • Andy Delort 70' goal
  • Jordan Ferri 87' yellowcard
  • Michel Der Zakarian 90' redcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Andre 17'
  • goal Timothy Weah 23'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 68'
  • yellowcard Xeka 77'
  • goal Burak Yilmaz 86'

Form Data

Rijeka 1 - 1 Lille
Lorient 4 - 1 Lille
Lille 2 - 1 Rijeka
Lille 2 - 0 Nantes
Nice 1 - 1 Lille
Brentford 0 - 0 Lille
Montpellier 1 - 3 Reims
Lyon 1 - 4 Montpellier
Montpellier 2 - 2 Le Havre
Reims 1 - 3 Montpellier
Montpellier 2 - 3 Nice
Nantes 0 - 3 Montpellier