Conference League
Aug 31, 2023 7.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion HNK Rijeka
  • Toni Fruk 37' yellowcard
  • Niko Galesic 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Franjo Ivanovic 49' yellowcard
  • Ivan Smolcic 58' goal
  • Andrija Vukcevic 111' yellowcard
  • Jorge Obregon 114' yellowcard
  • Ivan Smolcic 120'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan David 8'
  • yellowcard Bafode Diakite 99'
  • goal Jonathan David 108'

HNK Rijeka vs Lille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 24, 2023 7.00pm
Lille 2 - 1 Rijeka

Lille

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Aug 24, 2023 7.00pm
Lille 2 - 1 Rijeka

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

HNK Rijeka 29.12% (+0.02)
Draw 23.97% (+0.01)
Lille 46.9% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.61% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.64% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 43.36% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 34.24% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 65.75% (+0.03)
Over 4.5 17.7% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.29% (+0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5 72.05%
Under 0.5 27.94% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.43% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 63.57%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5 81.34% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 18.66% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 50.02% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 49.98% (+0.04)

Score analysis

HNK Rijeka 29.12%
Draw 23.96%
Lille 46.9%
HNK Rijeka
2-1 @ 7.11% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.65% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 3.02% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 29.12%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.15%
2-2 @ 5.97% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.21% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 23.96%
Lille
1-2 @ 9.37% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 8.75% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.11% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.34% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.2% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.73% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 46.9%

Head to Head

Conference League
Aug 24, 2023 7.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Pierre-Mauroy
  • Benjamin Andre 15' yellowcard
  • Edon Zhegrova 43' goal
  • Edon Zhegrova 52' yellowcard
  • Leny Yoro 89' goal
  • goal Marco Pasalic 24'
  • yellowcard Matej Mitrovic 52'
  • yellowcard Nediljko Labrovic 81'