UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Aug 31, 2023 at 7.15pm UK

Stadion HNK Rijeka

Rijeka
1 - 1
Lille

(Lille win 3-2 on aggregate)

Smolcic (58')
Fruk (37'), Galesic (45+1'), Ivanovic (49'), Vukcevic (111'), Obregon (114'), Smolcic (120+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

David (108')
David (8'), Diakite (99')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between HNK Rijeka and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HNK Rijeka

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 2-1 Rijeka
Sunday, August 27 at 8.05pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lille

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Lorient 4-1 Lille
Sunday, August 27 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for HNK Rijeka had a probability of 29.12% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest HNK Rijeka win was 2-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
HNK Rijeka	Draw	Lille
29.12% ( 0.02)	23.97% ( 0.01)	46.9% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 58.61% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.64% (

-0.02)

43.36% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.24% (

-0.02)

65.75% (

0.02)

HNK Rijeka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.05%

27.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.43% (

-0)

63.57%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.34% (

-0.02)

18.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.02% (

-0.04)

49.98% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

HNK Rijeka 29.12%

Lille 46.9%

Draw 23.96%

HNK Rijeka	Draw	Lille
2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.02% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.8% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 29.12%	1-1 @ 11.15% 2-2 @ 5.97% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.96%	1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.75% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.11% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.73% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 3.4% Total : 46.9%