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Strasbourg
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 36
May 9, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stade de la Meinau
Montpellier

Strasbourg
2 - 3
Montpellier

Ajorque (69'), Zohi (90+4')
Aholou (37'), Djiku (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Laborde (36', 49'), Delort (46')
Le Tallec (43'), Chotard (61'), Ristic (90+5')

Preview: Strasbourg vs. Montpellier HSC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Strasbourg and Montpellier HSC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Yet to be assured of Ligue 1 survival, Strasbourg welcome Montpellier HSC to the Stade de la Meinau for Sunday's top-flight fixture.

The hosts managed to take a point off of European-chasing Marseille in a 1-1 draw last time out, while Montpellier lost for the second game in a row against Saint-Etienne.


Match preview

Strasbourg manager Thierry Laurey pictured in February 2020© Reuters

In what is expected to be his final season in the Strasbourg hotseat, Thierry Laurey cannot put his feet up just yet, as Les Coureurs are still embroiled in a scrap for survival with only three games left to play.

Strasbourg appeared to be heading for a crucial victory over Marseille when Stefan Mitrovic's bullet header opened the scoring in the 73rd minute, but Olympiens substitutes Luis Henrique and Dario Benedetto combined for the latter to head home in the 86th minute as the points were shared.

Last weekend's stalemate saw Strasbourg stretch their winless run in Ligue 1 to four matches, and their poor fortunes have resulted in them slipping to 16th in the table - four points clear of the relegation playoff place - so a win this weekend would give Les Coureurs the best chance possible of avoiding a bottom-three finish.

The hosts' only win in their last seven outings came in a 3-2 success at fellow strugglers Bordeaux on April 4, and Laurey's side will be desperate to avoid a fourth home defeat on the bounce this weekend following losses to Lens, Paris Saint-Germain and Nantes in recent weeks.

Not since May 2008 have Strasbourg endured a longer losing run on home soil, but with only four wins at the Stade de la Meinau all season, any chances of Les Coureurs preserving their Ligue 1 status this weekend are very slim indeed.

Montpellier manager Michel Der Zakarian pictured in February 2020© Reuters

That being said, Montpellier are hardly enjoying a better patch of form themselves, as La Paillade's defeat to Nice - which ended their 15-game unbeaten run across all competitions - preceded a 2-1 loss to Saint-Etienne last Sunday.

Andy Delort unsurprisingly put Montpellier in the ascendancy with his 13th Ligue 1 goal of the season, but Romain Hamouma levelled the scores before a rare goal from captain Mathieu Debuchy condemned Montpellier to back-to-back defeats for the first time since January.

As impressive as La Paillade's unbeaten run was, they played out far too many draws to become realistic contenders for a top-five finish, and Michel Der Zakarian's men are mathematically out of the European equation as they sit eighth in the table - 10 points below Lens with nine points left to fight for.

Only one of Montpellier's last nine league games has ended with Der Zakarian's side coming up trumps, with that run also including six draws and their two recent defeats, and their only away win in nine attempts since the turn of the year came against Lyon on February 13, which highlights where many of their issues still lie.

Der Zakarian's men edged a seven-goal thriller 4-3 when they locked horns with Strasbourg earlier in the season, but Les Coureurs have only suffered two defeats in their last 15 home matches against La Paillade in the league, most recently suffering a 3-1 defeat in April 2019.

Strasbourg Ligue 1 form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Montpellier HSC Ligue 1 form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L

Montpellier HSC form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Montpellier captain Hilton pictured in February 2017© Reuters

Strasbourg's creative hub Adrien Thomasson will return from a suspension this week to reclaim his rightful place in the team, which could see Jean-Ricner Bellegarde demoted back down the bench.

Ibrahima Sissoko was only fit enough to come on as a substitute against Marseille but is in line for a recall to the first XI here, but Dimitri Lienard will not want to make way after assisting Mitrovic for the opener last weekend.

Majeed Waris and Mohamed Simakan remain out, and the latter has likely played his last game for the club before he joins RB Leipzig in the summer.

Montpellier captain Hilton returns from a two-game ban this weekend and should link up with fellow veteran Daniel Congre in defence, meaning that Clement Vidal is expected to drop out.

However, the visitors are without Teji Savanier and Florent Mollet as they serve bans of their own, leaving Der Zakarian with little creative inspiration in the middle of the park.

First-choice goalkeeper Jonas Omlin has also emerged as a doubt after sustaining a thigh injury in training, but Der Zakarian is hopeful that Jordan Ferri and Arnaud Souquet will shake off injuries in time to feature.

Strasbourg possible starting lineup:
Sels; Guilbert, Djiku, Kone, Mitrovic, Caci; Sissoko, Aholou; Thomasson; Ajorque, Diallo

Montpellier HSC possible starting lineup:
Bertaud; Sambia, Congre, Hilton, Cozza; Ferri, Chotard, Le Tallec; Laborde, Delort, Mavididi


SM words green background

We say: Strasbourg 1-1 Montpellier HSC

The Montpellier faithful must be sick of the sight of draws if the past few weeks are anything to go by, but another stalemate could certainly be on the cards this weekend.

Two of Strasbourg's most important midfielders should make their returns to the starting lineup on Sunday, and their dire need for points should help Laurey's side claim a share of the spoils against a Paillade team struggling to perform on the road.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:446335:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect11489:
Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 41.33%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.71%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Strasbourg vs Montpellier

Strasbourg
48.1%
Draw
25.9%
Montpellier HSC
25.9%
27
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1492331171429
3MonacoMonaco1492324121229
4Lille1475224141026
5Lyon147432617925
6Nice146532617923
7Lens146531712523
8Toulouse156361717021
9Auxerre146262121020
10Reims145452018219
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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