Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 43.46% ( | 26.45% ( | 30.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.58% ( | 53.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.05% ( | 74.95% ( |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( | 24.41% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.18% ( | 58.83% ( |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.61% ( | 32.4% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.09% ( | 68.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 2-1 @ 8.86% ( 2-0 @ 7.86% ( 3-1 @ 4.17% ( 3-0 @ 3.7% ( 3-2 @ 2.35% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.3% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 43.46% | 1-1 @ 12.56% ( 0-0 @ 7.91% ( 2-2 @ 5% ( Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.91% ( 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0-3 @ 1.89% ( 2-3 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 30.1% |