Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 42.16%. A win for Strasbourg had a probability of 30.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.56%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Strasbourg win was 0-1 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 42.16% | 27.32% | 30.52% |
| Both teams to score 48.68% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.38% | 56.62% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.41% | 77.59% |
| Metz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.48% | 26.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% | 61.71% |
| Strasbourg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.25% | 33.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.59% | 70.41% |
| Score Analysis |
| Metz | Draw | Strasbourg |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% 2-1 @ 8.56% 2-0 @ 7.89% 3-1 @ 3.79% 3-0 @ 3.49% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.08% Total : 42.16% | 1-1 @ 12.9% 0-0 @ 8.95% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.32% | 0-1 @ 9.72% 1-2 @ 7.01% 0-2 @ 5.28% 1-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 1.91% 2-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.52% |