Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 29, 2023 at 5.45pm UK

Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan

Sevilla
2 - 3
PSV

Ramos (24'), En-Nesyri (47')
Ocampos (63')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Saibari (68'), Gudelj (81' og.), Pepi (90+2')
Lozano (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sevilla

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: Real Sociedad 2-1 Sevilla
Sunday, November 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Champions League

Last Game: FC Twente 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
Sevilla	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
28.78% ( -0.26)	24.57% ( -0.08)	46.65% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 56.34% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.75% (

0.2)

46.24% (

-0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.46% (

0.19)

68.53% (

-0.2)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0.08)

29.65% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

-0.09)

65.7% (

0.09)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.09% (

0.22)

19.91% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.96% (

0.36)

52.04% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Sevilla 28.78%

PSV Eindhoven 46.65%

Draw 24.57%

Sevilla	Draw	PSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.36% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 2.85% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.28% Total : 28.78%	1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57%	0-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 9.35% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 4.14% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.65%