MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 06:15:19| >> :600:121842:121842:
Sevilla logo
Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Estadio Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan
PSV
Sevilla
2 - 3
PSV
Ramos (24'), En-Nesyri (47')
Ocampos (63')
Ocampos (66'), Fernando (90+8')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Saibari (68'), Gudelj (81' og.), Pepi (90+2')
Lozano (33')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Sevilla and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: FC Twente 0-3 PSV
Saturday, November 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sevilla 1-2 PSV Eindhoven

Making the net ripple is never normally where Sevilla's issues lie - their misfortune can be often be traced back to a lack of defensive discipline - and such vulnerabilities are there for the PSV juggernaut to expose as the Dutch side aim to snap their horrendous away run in the Champions League. Los Palanganas could and probably should have left Eindhoven with all three points in October, and we can envisage the hosts being punished for their late collapse in that game, as PSV condemn Sevilla to a third-placed finish at the very best while doing all they can to seal an early qualification. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.69%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 1-0 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
SevillaDrawPSV Eindhoven
28.78% (-0.256 -0.26) 24.57% (-0.081 -0.08) 46.65% (0.332 0.33)
Both teams to score 56.34% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.75% (0.204 0.2)46.24% (-0.207 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.46% (0.193 0.19)68.53% (-0.196 -0.2)
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)29.65% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.3% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)65.7% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.09% (0.224 0.22)19.91% (-0.226 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.96% (0.36199999999999 0.36)52.04% (-0.364 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Sevilla 28.78%
    PSV Eindhoven 46.65%
    Draw 24.57%
SevillaDrawPSV Eindhoven
1-0 @ 7.18% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.04% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.36% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.85% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 28.78%
1-1 @ 11.58% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.9% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.68% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.57%
0-1 @ 9.53% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.35% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.69% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 5.03% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 4.14% (0.05 0.05)
2-3 @ 3.06% (0.025 0.02)
1-4 @ 2.03% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.67% (0.032 0.03)
2-4 @ 1.23% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 46.65%

How you voted: Sevilla vs PSV

Sevilla
31.4%
Draw
18.1%
PSV Eindhoven
50.5%
188
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 8pm
Group Stage
PSV
2-2
Sevilla
De Jong (86' pen.), Teze (90+5')
Veerman (27'), Lozano (90+1'), de Jong (90+8')
Gudelj (68'), En-Nesyri (87')
Navas (36'), Bade (90+7')
Feb 23, 2023 5.45pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 2nd Leg
PSV
2-0
Sevilla
De Jong (77'), Silva (90+5')
Feb 16, 2023 8pm
Knockout Round Playoffs 1st Leg
Sevilla
3-0
PSV
En-Nesyri (45+2'), Ocampos (50'), Gudelj (55')
rhs 2.0
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