Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
| 49.89% ( | 24.2% ( | 25.91% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.39% ( | 46.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.12% ( | 68.88% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.27% ( | 18.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.9% ( | 50.1% ( |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.99% ( | 32.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( | 68.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% ( 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 2-0 @ 8.41% ( 3-1 @ 5.35% ( 3-0 @ 4.7% ( 3-2 @ 3.05% ( 4-1 @ 2.24% ( 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.28% Total : 49.89% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0-0 @ 6% ( 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 3-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.19% | 0-1 @ 6.83% ( 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0-2 @ 3.89% ( 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% ( Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.91% |