Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.89%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Real Sociedad in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Real Sociedad.