Champions League
Nov 8, 2023 5.45pm
3
1
HT : 3 0
FT Reale Arena
  • Mikel Merino 6' goal
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 11' goal
  • Ander Barrenetxea 21' goal
  • Ander Barrenetxea 62' yellowcard
  • Carlos Fernandez 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Florentino Luis 20'
  • goal Rafa Silva 49'

Real Sociedad vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Benfica

All competitions
Champions League
Last game
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
Benfica 0 - 1 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.

Result

Real Sociedad 17.89%
Draw 20.92%
Benfica 61.19% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.8%

Goals

Over 2.5 58.22% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 41.78% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 35.82%
Under 3.5 64.18% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 18.88%
Under 4.5 81.12% (-0.01)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 63.11%
Under 0.5 36.88% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 26.33%
Under 1.5 73.67% (-0.01)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 86.82% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.17%
Over 1.5 60.12% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 39.88% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 17.89%
Draw 20.92%
Benfica 61.19%
Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 4.9%
1-0 @ 4.85%
2-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.65%
3-1 @ 1.63%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 17.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.82%
2-2 @ 4.97%
0-0 @ 4.86%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.92%
Benfica
0-2 @ 9.98%
1-2 @ 9.96%
0-1 @ 9.85% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.73%
0-4 @ 3.42%
1-4 @ 3.41%
2-3 @ 3.36%
2-4 @ 1.7%
0-5 @ 1.39%
1-5 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 61.19%

Head to Head

Champions League
Oct 24, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
  • Juan Bernat 77' yellowcard
  • goal Brais Mendez 63'
  • yellowcard Aritz Elustondo 71'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 75'