Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 8, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Reale Arena
Real Sociedad3 - 1Benfica
FT(HT: 3-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-1 Barcelona
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Saturday, November 4 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Chaves 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, November 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.96%) and 0-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 2-1 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Benfica |
| 17.89% | 20.92% | 61.19% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.8% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( | 41.78% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% | 64.18% ( |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.11% | 36.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.33% | 73.67% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.82% ( | 13.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.12% ( | 39.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad 17.89%
Benfica 61.19%
Draw 20.92%
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Benfica |
| 2-1 @ 4.9% 1-0 @ 4.85% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-2 @ 1.65% 3-1 @ 1.63% Other @ 2.44% Total : 17.89% | 1-1 @ 9.82% 2-2 @ 4.97% 0-0 @ 4.86% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.92% | 0-2 @ 9.98% 1-2 @ 9.96% 0-1 @ 9.85% ( 0-3 @ 6.74% ( 1-3 @ 6.73% 0-4 @ 3.42% 1-4 @ 3.41% 2-3 @ 3.36% 2-4 @ 1.7% 0-5 @ 1.39% 1-5 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.29% Total : 61.19% |
How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Benfica
Real Sociedad
64.8%Draw
16.4%Benfica
18.9%159
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 8pm
Form Guide


