Primeira Liga
Gameweek
10
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fchalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fbenlog.png)
-
Ruben Ribeiro
25'
-
Ruben Lameiras
41'
-
Paulo Victor
75'
-
Bruno Langa
77'
-
Issah Abass
89'
-
Nicolas Otamendi
44'
-
Fredrik Aursnes
59'
-
Joao Mario
80'
-
Antonio Silva
87'
Chaves vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fantonio-silva.JPG)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Chaves win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.
Result
Chaves
12.92%
▼
(-2.53)
Draw
16.97%
▼
(-1.27)
Benfica
70.11%
▲
(+3.79)
Both Teams to Score:
56.72%
▼
(-2.35)
Goals
Over 2.5
66.6%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 2.5
33.4%
▼
(-0.28)
Over 3.5
44.82%
▲
(+0.31)
Under 3.5
55.18%
▼
(-0.32)
Over 4.5
26.14%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 4.5
73.86%
▼
(-0.28)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
62.01%
▼
(-3.23)
Under 0.5
37.99%
▲
(+3.22)
Over 1.5
25.24%
▼
(-3.27)
Under 1.5
74.76%
▲
(+3.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
91.47%
▲
(+0.93)
Under 0.5
8.53%
▼
(-0.93)
Over 1.5
70.48%
▲
(+2.23)
Under 1.5
29.52%
▼
(-2.23)
Score analysis
Chaves
12.92%
Draw
16.97%
Benfica
70.11%
Chaves
2-1
@
3.74%
▼
(-0.60)
1-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 12.92%
1-0 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.34)
2-0 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.32)
3-2 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.32)
3-1 @ 1.21% ▼ (-0.32)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 12.92%
Draw
1-1
@
7.72%
▼
(-0.48)
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.51)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.97%
2-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.51)
0-0 @ 3.24% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 16.97%
Benfica
0-2
@
9.82%
▲
(+0.68)
1-2 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.87)
0-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.72)
1-4 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.24)
0-5 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.45)
1-5 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.25)
2-4 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
2-5 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 1% ▼ (-77.70)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 70.11%
1-2 @ 9.5% ▼ (-0.16)
0-3 @ 8.06% ▲ (+0.87)
0-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.23)
1-3 @ 7.8% ▲ (+0.21)
0-4 @ 4.96% ▲ (+0.72)
1-4 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.32)
2-3 @ 3.77% ▼ (-0.24)
0-5 @ 2.44% ▲ (+0.45)
1-5 @ 2.36% ▲ (+0.25)
2-4 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.05)
2-5 @ 1.14% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 1% ▼ (-77.70)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 70.11%
German Conti
87'