Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Nov 4, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
0 - 2
Benfica

Ribeiro (25'), Lameiras (41'), Victor (75'), Langa (77'), Abass (89')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Aursnes (59'), Mario (80' pen.)
Otamendi (44'), Silva (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 5-0 Chaves
Saturday, October 28 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-2 Benfica
Tuesday, October 31 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 70.11%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 12.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-3 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.72%), while for a Chaves win it was 2-1 (3.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Benfica
12.92% ( -2.52)	16.97% ( -1.26)	70.11% ( 3.78)

Both teams to score 56.72% (

-2.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.6% (

0.27)

33.4% (

-0.28)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.82% (

0.31)

55.18% (

-0.32)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.01% (

-3.23)

37.99% (

3.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.24% (

-3.26)

74.76% (

3.26)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.47% (

0.92)

8.53% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.48% (

2.22)

29.52% (

-2.23)

Score Analysis

Chaves 12.92%

Benfica 70.11%

Draw 16.97%

Chaves	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.59) 1-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.32) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.31) 3-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.32) Other @ 1.84% Total : 12.92%	1-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.51) 0-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.2% Total : 16.97%	0-2 @ 9.82% ( 0.67) 1-2 @ 9.5% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 8.06% ( 0.87) 0-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 7.8% ( 0.2) 0-4 @ 4.96% ( 0.72) 1-4 @ 4.8% ( 0.32) 2-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.24) 0-5 @ 2.44% ( 0.44) 1-5 @ 2.36% ( 0.25) 2-4 @ 2.32% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 1% ( 0.22) 1-6 @ 0.97% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.18% Total : 70.11%