Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
1 - 2
Benfica

Samu (70' pen.)
Pereira (90+5'), Wilson (90+12')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Musa (9'), di Maria (39')
Aursnes (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Vizela 1-0 Gil Vicente
Friday, September 1 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, September 2 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 17.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Benfica
17.03% ( -0)	21.25% ( -0)	61.72% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.29% (

0.01)

44.71% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.93% (

0.01)

67.08% (

-0.01)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.37% (

-0)

39.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.69% (

-0)

76.32% (

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.05% (

0.01)

13.95% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.57% (

0.01)

41.43% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vizela 17.03%

Benfica 61.71%

Draw 21.25%

Vizela	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.12% ( -0) 2-1 @ 4.66% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.03% Total : 17.03%	1-1 @ 10.08% 0-0 @ 5.53% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 21.25%	0-1 @ 10.89% 0-2 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 9.93% 0-3 @ 7.04% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 3.47% ( 0) 1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.02% 2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.37% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 2.81% Total : 61.71%