Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
2 - 0
Estrela Amadora

Tengstedt (79'), Silva (90+3')
Neves (37'), Mario (44'), Cabral (50')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Omorwa (11'), Mansur (55'), Ciriaco Santos (90+6')

Reaction

Benfica midfielder Florentino Luis in action for Portugal Under-21s on June 6, 2021

Manchester United 'scout Benfica midfielder Florentino Luis'

Manchester United had scouts in attendance to watch Florentino Luis in action for Benfica on Saturday, according to a report.

Aug 20, 11:39

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Estrela Amadora, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Boavista 3-2 Benfica
Monday, August 14 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estrela Amadora

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 84.87%. A draw had a probability of 10.1% and a win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.89%) and 4-0 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Estrela Amadora win it was 1-2 (1.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Estrela Amadora
84.87% ( 0.28)	10.13% ( -0.16)	5% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 47.06% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.16% (

0.34)

26.84% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

52.71% (

0.42)

47.29% (

-0.42)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.61% (

0.1)

4.39% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

81.88% (

0.32)

18.12% (

-0.32)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.22% (

-0.12)

50.78% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.81% (

-0.08)

85.19% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Benfica 84.86%

Estrela Amadora 5%

Draw 10.13%

Benfica	Draw	Estrela Amadora
3-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.89% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.05) 6-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.04) 7-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.37% Total : 84.86%	1-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.67% Total : 10.13%	1-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.89% Total : 5%