MX23RW : Thursday, December 12 05:00:41| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Benfica

Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Benfica

Sunday's showdown is destined to be a lively encounter between two fierce rivals, so we expect Sporting and Benfica to serve up an entertaining draw at Estadio Jose Alvalade. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
30.21% (-0.372 -0.37) 25.16% (0.244 0.24) 44.64% (0.125 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.27% (-1.017 -1.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.96% (-1.24 -1.24)48.04% (1.236 1.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.79% (-1.149 -1.15)70.21% (1.145 1.15)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.878 -0.88)29.56% (0.874 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-1.083 -1.08)65.59% (1.079 1.08)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.47% (-0.462 -0.46)21.53% (0.459 0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.4% (-0.711 -0.71)54.59% (0.706 0.71)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 30.21%
    Benfica 44.64%
    Draw 25.15%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 7.76% (0.209 0.21)
2-1 @ 7.26% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 4.73% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.95% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.042 -0.04)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.21%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.16 0.16)
0-0 @ 6.37% (0.32 0.32)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.141 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.076 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.78% (0.361 0.36)
1-2 @ 9.15% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 7.51% (0.176 0.18)
1-3 @ 4.68% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.84% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 1.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.48% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.64%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
30.6%
Draw
29.0%
Benfica
40.3%
62
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2023 6pm
gameweek 16
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ramos (37', 64')
Otamendi (5'), Silva (41')
Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
Goncalves (45+3'), Trincao (46'), Ugarte (61'), St Juste (86'), Chermiti (88')
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Benfica

Sarabia (13'), Paulinho (51')
Nunez (14'), Dias (90+2')
Everton (41'), Vertonghen (51'), Taarabt (75')
Jan 29, 2022 7.45pm
Final
Benfica
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Everton (23')
Vertonghen (53'), Everton (58'), Mario (90+2')
Inacio (49'), Sarabia (78')
Neto (31'), Paulinho (53'), Nunes (59'), Esgaio (77')
Dec 3, 2021 9.15pm
gameweek 13
Benfica
1-3
Sporting Lisbon
Pizzi (90+6')
Vertonghen (22'), Weigl (27'), Taarabt (89')
Sarabia (8'), Paulinho (62'), Nunes (68')
Feddal (1'), Paulinho (1'), Porro (20'), Sarabia (33'), Goncalves (45+3'), Esgaio (73')
May 15, 2021 6pm
gameweek 33
Benfica
4-3
Sporting Lisbon
Seferovic (12', 49' pen.), Pizzi (29'), Verissimo (37')
Grimaldo (7'), Verissimo (38'), Otamendi (43'), Gabriel (57'), Tavares (87'), Nunez (90+2')
Goncalves (45+1', 77'), Santos (62')
Reis (31'), Mendes (57'), Mario (65'), Goncalves (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!