Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio José Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Benfica

Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Maritimo
Saturday, May 13 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Portimonense 1-5 Benfica
Saturday, May 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
30.21% ( -0.37)	25.16% ( 0.24)	44.64% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 55.27% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.96% (

-1.24)

48.04% (

1.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.79% (

-1.15)

70.21% (

1.15)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.44% (

-0.88)

29.56% (

0.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.41% (

-1.08)

65.59% (

1.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.47% (

-0.46)

21.53% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.4% (

-0.71)

54.59% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 30.21%

Benfica 44.64%

Draw 25.15%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.33% Total : 30.21%	1-1 @ 11.91% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.15%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0) 0-2 @ 7.51% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 3.84% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.85% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.64%