Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio José Alvalade
Benfica
  • Francisco Trincao 39' goal
  • Ousmane Diomande 44' goal
  • goal Fredrik Aursnes 71'
  • goal Joao Neves 90'+4'

Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Maritimo
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Pedro Goncalves

Benfica

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2023 6.00pm
Portimonense 1 - 5 Benfica
Goals scored
82
Top scorer
Goncalo Ramos

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 44.64%. A win for Sporting Lisbon had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result

Sporting Lisbon 30.21% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 25.16% ▲ (+0.25)
Benfica 44.64% ▲ (+0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.27% ▼ (-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.96% ▼ (-1.24)
Under 2.5 48.04% ▲ (+1.24)
Over 3.5 29.79% ▼ (-1.15)
Under 3.5 70.21% ▲ (+1.15)
Over 4.5 14.53% ▼ (-0.80)
Under 4.5 85.47% ▲ (+0.80)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5 70.44% ▼ (-0.88)
Under 0.5 29.56% ▲ (+0.88)
Over 1.5 34.41% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 1.5 65.59% ▲ (+1.08)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5 78.47% ▼ (-0.47)
Under 0.5 21.53% ▲ (+0.46)
Over 1.5 45.4% ▼ (-0.72)
Under 1.5 54.59% ▲ (+0.71)

Score analysis

Sporting Lisbon 30.21%
Draw 25.15%
Benfica 44.64%
Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.21)
2-1 @ 7.26% ▼ (-0.09)
2-0 @ 4.73% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 30.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.33)
2-2 @ 5.57% ▼ (-0.15)
3-3 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.15%
Benfica
0-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.37)
1-2 @ 9.15% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.51% ▲ (+0.18)
1-3 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.07)
0-3 @ 3.84% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.85% ▼ (-0.12)
1-4 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.06)
0-4 @ 1.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.64%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Benfica
Jan 15, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Sporting Lisbon
  • Goncalo Ramos 37' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 64' goal
  • goal Alexander Bah 27'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 53'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Benfica
  • Pablo Sarabia 13' yellowcard
  • Paulinho 51' yellowcard
  • goal Darwin Nunez 14'
  • yellowcard Everton 41'
  • yellowcard Jan Vertonghen 51'
  • yellowcard Adel Taarabt 75'
  • goal Gil Dias 90'+2'
Taca da Liga
Benfica
Jan 29, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Dr. Magalhães Pessoa
Sporting Lisbon
  • Everton 23' goal
  • Jan Vertonghen 53' yellowcard
  • Everton 58' yellowcard
  • Joao Mario 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luis Neto 31'
  • goal Goncalo Inacio 49'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 53'
  • yellowcard Matheus Nunes 59'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 77'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 78'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Benfica
Dec 3, 2021 9.15pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Jan Vertonghen 22' yellowcard
  • Julian Weigl 27' yellowcard
  • Adel Taarabt 89' yellowcard
  • Pizzi 90'+6' goal
  • yellowcard Zouhair Feddal 1'
  • yellowcard Paulinho 1'
  • goal Pablo Sarabia 8'
  • yellowcard Pedro Porro 20'
  • yellowcard Pablo Sarabia 33'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 45'+3'
  • goal Paulinho 62'
  • goal Matheus Nunes 68'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Esgaio 73'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
Benfica
May 15, 2021 6.00pm
4
3
HT : 3 1
FT
Sporting Lisbon
  • Alex Grimaldo 7' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 12' goal
  • Pizzi 29' goal
  • Lucas Verissimo 37' goal
  • Lucas Verissimo 38' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Otamendi 43' yellowcard
  • Haris Seferovic 49' goal
  • Gabriel 57' yellowcard
  • Nuno Tavares 87' yellowcard
  • Darwin Nunez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matheus Reis 31'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 57'
  • goal Nuno Santos 62'
  • yellowcard Joao Mario 65'
  • goal Pedro Goncalves 77'
  • yellowcard Pedro Goncalves 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Sporting Lisbon
Feb 1, 2021 9.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Benfica
  • Tiago Tomas 15' yellowcard
  • Luis Neto 40' yellowcard
  • Matheus Nunes 90'+2' goal
  • Bruno Tabata 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gilberto 13'
  • yellowcard Julian Weigl 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Otamendi 53'
  • yellowcard Pizzi 75'
  • yellowcard Gabriel 79'

Form Data

Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Maritimo
Pacos de Ferreira 0 - 4 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 2 - 1 Famalicao
Guimaraes 0 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Juventus
Sporting Lisbon 1 - 1 Arouca
Portimonense 1 - 5 Benfica
Benfica 1 - 0 Braga
Gil Vicente 0 - 2 Benfica
Benfica 1 - 0 Estoril
Inter Milan 3 - 3 Benfica
Chaves 1 - 0 Benfica