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Sporting Lisbon
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Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32
May 13, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio José Alvalade
Maritimo

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Maritimo

Costa (85' og.), Coates (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Costa (10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-4 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, May 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Maritimo

All competitions
Last Game: Maritimo 2-2 Rio Ave
Sunday, May 7 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 82.99%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 5.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.06%) and 1-0 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.5%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (1.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawMaritimo
82.99% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)11.58% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)5.44% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Both teams to score 43.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.13% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.43% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)54.57% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.18% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)5.82% (0.0049000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.62% (-0.012 -0.01)22.38% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.91% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.09% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.67% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)87.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 82.98%
    Maritimo 5.44%
    Draw 11.58%
Sporting LisbonDrawMaritimo
2-0 @ 12.73% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 12.06%
1-0 @ 8.95% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
4-0 @ 8.58% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 7.82% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 7.42% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 5.27% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-0 @ 4.88% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
5-1 @ 3% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
6-0 @ 2.31% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-1 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
7-0 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
5-2 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 82.98%
1-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 3.15% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.4%
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 11.58%
0-1 @ 1.94% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 1.69% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 5.44%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Maritimo

Sporting Lisbon
87.5%
Draw
6.3%
Maritimo
6.3%
16
Head to Head
Jan 8, 2023 6pm
gameweek 15
Maritimo
1-0
Sporting Lisbon
Winck (55' pen.)
Brito (60'), Vidigal (85'), Mosquera (87'), Carne (90+5')

Edwards (11'), Esgaio (72'), Porro (81'), Paulinho (82')
Dec 13, 2022 8.45pm
Group Stage
Sporting Lisbon
5-0
Maritimo
Paulinho (1', 15', 31'), Porro (73'), Silva (86' og.)

Liza (60')
Feb 26, 2022 6pm
gameweek 24
Maritimo
1-1
Sporting Lisbon
Xadas (5')
Xadas (33'), Costa (52'), Costa (90')
Slimani (38')
Slimani (89'), Vinagre (90+1')
Sep 24, 2021 7pm
gameweek 7
Sporting Lisbon
1-0
Maritimo
Porro (90+8' pen.)
Feddal (56'), Neto (60'), Coates (77'), Esgaio (90+2')

China (28'), Victor (56'), Rossi (73'), Pelagio (81'), Mendes (90+3')
Victor (90+4')
May 19, 2021 9.45pm
gameweek 34
Sporting Lisbon
5-1
Maritimo
Goncalves (7', 20', 62'), Karo (21' og.), Plata (75')
Nunes (28'), Coates (46'), Tomas (79')
Beltrame (89')
Jean (65')