Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 7, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio da Capital do Móvel

Pacos de Ferreira
0 - 4
Sporting Lisbon

FT(HT: 0-2)

Marafona (7' og.), Santos (33'), Trincao (62'), Chermiti (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pacos de Ferreira

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Famalicao
Sunday, April 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 76.79%. A draw had a probability of 14.7% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 8.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.27%) and 0-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.93%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
8.54% ( -0.03)	14.66% ( -0.04)	76.79% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.61% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.55% (

0.08)

35.45% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.51% (

0.09)

57.49% (

-0.09)

Pacos de Ferreira Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.6% (

-0.01)

47.4% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.21% (

-0.01)

82.78% (

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.4% (

0.03)

7.59% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

72.83% (

0.08)

27.17% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Pacos de Ferreira 8.55%

Sporting Lisbon 76.77%

Draw 14.66%

Pacos de Ferreira	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 8.55%	1-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.33% ( -0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 14.66%	0-2 @ 11.95% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 10.27% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0) 0-4 @ 6.62% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 3.42% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.86% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-6 @ 1.47% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.92% Total : 76.77%