Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 47.79%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.