Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 51.8%. A win for Porto had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Porto win was 1-2 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Porto
51.8% ( -3.19)	22.92% ( 0.94)	25.27% ( 2.24)

Both teams to score 58.91% (

-0.63)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.52% (

-2.04)

41.47% (

2.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.13% (

-2.1)

63.87% (

2.09)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.9% (

-1.79)

16.09% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.51% (

-3.37)

45.49% (

3.36)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.21% (

0.72)

29.79% (

-0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.14% (

0.86)

65.86% (

-0.87)

Score Analysis

Benfica 51.8%

Porto 25.27%

Draw 22.92%

Benfica	Draw	Porto
2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 8% ( -0.25) 3-1 @ 5.9% ( -0.45) 3-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.48) 3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 2.69% ( -0.39) 4-0 @ 2.22% ( -0.38) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.2) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.49% Total : 51.8%	1-1 @ 10.6% ( 0.53) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.43) 3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.92%	1-2 @ 6.42% ( 0.44) 0-1 @ 5.81% ( 0.62) 0-2 @ 3.52% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.23) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.2) Other @ 3.15% Total : 25.27%