Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
87.75% ( 0.14) | 8.69% ( -0.01) | 3.56% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 40.77% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.46% ( -0.82) | 27.54% ( 0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.83% ( -1.04) | 48.17% ( 1.04) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.95% ( -0.11) | 4.05% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
82.97% ( -0.36) | 17.03% ( 0.36) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.49% ( -1.3) | 57.51% ( 1.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.67% ( -0.74) | 89.33% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
3-0 @ 12.79% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 0.4) 4-0 @ 10.26% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.31) 3-1 @ 7.08% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.14) 5-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 3.52% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 6-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 7-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.11) 5-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.08) Other @ 4.04% Total : 87.74% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.4% Total : 8.69% | 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.13% Total : 3.56% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
12 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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