Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 87.75% ( | 8.69% ( | 3.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 40.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.46% ( | 27.54% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.83% ( | 48.17% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.95% ( | 4.05% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 82.97% ( | 17.03% ( |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 42.49% ( | 57.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 10.67% ( | 89.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 3-0 @ 12.79% ( 2-0 @ 11.97% ( 4-0 @ 10.26% ( 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 2-1 @ 6.62% ( 5-0 @ 6.58% ( 4-1 @ 5.68% ( 5-1 @ 3.64% ( 6-0 @ 3.52% ( 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 6-1 @ 1.95% ( 7-0 @ 1.61% ( 4-2 @ 1.57% ( 5-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 4.04% Total : 87.74% | 1-1 @ 4.13% ( 0-0 @ 2.33% ( 2-2 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 0.4% Total : 8.69% | 0-1 @ 1.29% ( 1-2 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.13% Total : 3.56% |