Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 87.75%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 3.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.97%) and 4-0 (10.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.13%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (1.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.