Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 6, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio de São Miguel

Santa Clara
3 - 2
Gil Vicente

Nogueira (23'), Adriano (33'), Babi (51' pen.)

FT(HT: 2-0)

Navarro (77' pen.), Aouacheria (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 3-0 Santa Clara
Sunday, April 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-2 Benfica
Saturday, April 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Santa Clara	Draw	Gil Vicente
32.17% ( 1.14)	26.31% ( 0.17)	41.52% ( -1.31)

Both teams to score 52.4% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.84% (

-0.31)

52.16% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.12% (

-0.27)

73.87% (

0.27)

Santa Clara Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.69% (

0.62)

30.3% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.51% (

0.74)

66.48% (

-0.74)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.18% (

-0.8)

24.82% (

0.8)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.59% (

-1.13)

59.41% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

Santa Clara 32.17%

Gil Vicente 41.52%

Draw 26.31%

Santa Clara	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.18% Total : 32.17%	1-1 @ 12.51% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.31%	0-1 @ 10.48% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 4.05% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.57% Total : 41.52%