Primeira Liga | Gameweek 32

May 14, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Casa Pia

Taremi (56'), Loader (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Evanilson (45+5' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Arouca 0-1 Porto
Monday, May 8 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 1-1 Portimonense
Friday, May 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Porto	Draw	Casa Pia
79.97% ( -0.33)	13.29% ( 0.19)	6.75% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 44.51% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.28% (

-0.31)

35.72% (

0.32)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.21% (

-0.34)

57.79% (

0.35)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.01% (

-0.13)

7% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.4% (

-0.36)

25.6% (

0.36)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

47.86% (

0.2)

52.14% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.9% (

0.13)

86.1% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Porto 79.96%

Casa Pia 6.75%

Draw 13.29%

Porto	Draw	Casa Pia
2-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.07) 1-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 7.45% ( -0) 4-1 @ 4.95% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.82% Total : 79.96%	1-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.59% Total : 13.29%	0-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.31% Total : 6.75%