Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 14, 2023 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Mehdi Taremi 56' goal
  • Danny Loader 90'+3' goal
  • goal Evanilson 45'+5' (OG)

Porto vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2023 9.15pm
Arouca 0 - 1 Porto
Goals scored
73
Top scorer
Mehdi Taremi

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
May 5, 2023 8.15pm
Casa Pia 1 - 1 Portimonense
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 79.97%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 6.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.44%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.32%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Porto in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result

Porto 79.97% (-0.34)
Draw 13.29% (+0.19)
Casa Pia 6.75% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.51% (+0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.28% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 35.72% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 42.21% (-0.35)
Under 3.5 57.79% (+0.36)
Over 4.5 23.94% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 76.06% (+0.30)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 93.01% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 7% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 74.4% (-0.36)
Under 1.5 25.6% (+0.37)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 47.86% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 52.14% (-0.19)
Over 1.5 13.9% (+0.13)
Under 1.5 86.1% (-0.13)

Score analysis

Porto 79.96%
Draw 13.29%
Casa Pia 6.75%
Porto
2-0 @ 12.9% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 11.44% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 9.7% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 8.4% (+0.06)
4-0 @ 7.61% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 7.45% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 4.95% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 4.05% (-0.09)
5-1 @ 2.64% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.43% (+0.02)
6-0 @ 1.79% (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.01)
6-1 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 79.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.32% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 3.65% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 2.74% (+0.04)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 13.29%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 2.38% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 2.06% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 6.75%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Jan 7, 2023 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique