/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fporlog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fguilog.png)
-
Mehdi Taremi
8'
-
Otavio
32'
-
Evanilson
39'
Porto vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F14%2Fporto.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 69.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 12.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.49%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result
Porto
69.21%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
18.03%
▼
(-0.03)
Vitoria de Guimaraes
12.76%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
52.13%
▲
(+0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.99%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 2.5
39.01%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 3.5
38.66%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 3.5
61.33%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 4.5
21.08%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 4.5
78.92%
▼
(-0.05)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5
89.8%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
10.2%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 1.5
66.51%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
33.49%
▼
(-0.07)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5
58.06%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
41.94%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 1.5
21.62%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
78.38%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Porto
69.2%
Draw
18.03%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
12.76%
Porto
2-0
@
11.14%
1-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 69.2%
1-0 @ 9.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.69% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.37% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 4.84% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 4.21% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.92% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 4.56%
Total : 69.2%
Draw
1-1
@
8.49%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 18.03%
0-0 @ 4.28% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.21% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.05%
Total : 18.03%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
0-1
@
3.72%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.76%
1-2 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 12.76%
