Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31

May 7, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
3 - 0
Vizela

Villanueva (16'), Silva (41'), Freitas (70')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 1-2 Guimaraes
Saturday, April 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, April 29 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.2%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
36.2%	27.64% ( 0)	36.17% ( 0)

Both teams to score 48.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.13%

56.87% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.21%

77.79% (

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.95%

30.05% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.82%

66.18% (

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.93%

30.07% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.8%

66.2% (

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.19%

Vizela 36.16%

Draw 27.63%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.19%	1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.16%