Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 21.35% ( | 24.02% ( | 54.63% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.74% ( | 50.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( | 72.21% ( |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.89% ( | 38.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.13% ( | 74.87% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.71% ( | 18.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.64% ( | 49.36% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Benfica |
| 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 2-1 @ 5.51% ( 2-0 @ 3.24% ( 3-1 @ 1.77% ( 3-2 @ 1.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 1.55% Total : 21.35% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 4.68% ( Other @ 0.95% Total : 24.02% | 0-1 @ 11.84% ( 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 1-2 @ 9.7% ( 0-3 @ 5.7% ( 1-3 @ 5.5% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0-4 @ 2.42% ( 1-4 @ 2.33% ( 2-4 @ 1.13% ( Other @ 3.31% Total : 54.62% |