Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 54.63%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Boavista win it was 1-0 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.