Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Sporting Lisbon
3 - 2
Vizela

Gyokeres (14', 15'), Paulinho (90+9')
Diomande (58'), Coates (89'), Neto (90+6'), Esgaio (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Essende (75'), Moreira (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Everton 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: AVS 1-0 Vizela
Friday, July 28 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 64.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 15.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Vizela win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.

Result
Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vizela
64.13% ( -0.25)	20.46% ( 0.11)	15.41% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 50.89% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.73% (

-0.17)

44.28% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.35% (

-0.17)

66.65% (

0.17)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.91% (

-0.12)

13.09% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.29% (

-0.26)

39.71% (

0.26)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.56% (

0.09)

41.44% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05% (

0.08)

77.95% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Sporting Lisbon 64.12%

Vizela 15.41%

Draw 20.46%

Sporting Lisbon	Draw	Vizela
2-0 @ 11.21% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.6% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.86% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.04% Total : 64.12%	1-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 20.46%	0-1 @ 4.78% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 15.41%