Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 60.99%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 16.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.51%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (5.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 16.75% ( | 22.26% ( | 60.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.19% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.57% ( | 49.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.53% ( | 71.47% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.2% ( | 42.8% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.88% ( | 79.12% ( |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.25% ( | 15.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.15% ( | 44.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.72% ( 2-1 @ 4.49% ( 2-0 @ 2.43% ( 3-1 @ 1.27% ( 3-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.68% Total : 16.75% | 1-1 @ 10.57% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( 2-2 @ 4.15% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 22.25% | 0-1 @ 12.45% ( 0-2 @ 11.51% ( 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0-3 @ 7.1% ( 1-3 @ 6.02% ( 0-4 @ 3.28% ( 1-4 @ 2.78% ( 2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-5 @ 1.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.18% ( 1-5 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.98% |