Taca da Liga | First Round

Jul 22, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
2 - 1
Maritimo

Samu (45+1' pen.), Moreira (90+1')
Fernandes (30')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Xadas (31' pen.)
Juliao (36'), Salin (45'), Costa (68')

Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between Vizela and Maritimo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, May 26 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 2-1 Estrela Amadora (2-3 pen.)
Sunday, June 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 39.96%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.67%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Maritimo
39.96% ( -0.11)	25.26% ( 0)	34.78% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.94% (

47.06% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.7% (

69.3% (

-0)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-0.05)

23.34% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.69% (

-0.08)

57.3% (

0.08)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

0.06)

26.17% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

0.09)

61.25% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Vizela 39.96%

Maritimo 34.78%

Draw 25.25%

Vizela	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.2% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 39.96%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25%	0-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.3% Total : 34.78%