Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.
Result | ||
Estoril Praia | Draw | Maritimo |
49.51% ( -0.01) | 25.05% ( 0) | 25.43% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 52.08% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.42% | 50.57% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.51% | 72.49% ( -0) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.55% ( -0) | 20.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.1% ( -0) | 52.89% ( -0) |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.46% ( 0) | 34.53% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.74% ( 0) | 71.25% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Estoril Praia | Draw | Maritimo |
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.51% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 34 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
13 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 32 | 49 | -17 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |