Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
3 - 1
Maritimo

Marques (15'), Joaozinho (80'), Yusuf (83')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Winck (68' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Maritimo

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 1-0 Vizela
Friday, May 19 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.9%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Maritimo
49.51% ( -0.01)	25.05% ( 0)	25.43% ( 0)

Both teams to score 52.08% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.42%

50.57% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.51%

72.49% (

-0)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

-0)

20.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.1% (

-0)

52.89% (

-0)

Maritimo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.46% (

34.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.74% (

71.25% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 49.51%

Maritimo 25.43%

Draw 25.05%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.2% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.01% 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.99% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.51%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 7.06% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.05%	0-1 @ 7.51% 1-2 @ 6.33% 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.16% Total : 25.43%

Head to Head

Jan 22, 2023 3.30pm

gameweek 17

Maritimo

1-0

Estoril

Rene (3')
Costa (27'), Val (41'), Afonso (57'), Liza (64'), de Lacerda (67'), Rene (83'), Costa (90')
Afonso (60')

Lea Siliki (47'), Carvalho (61')

Feb 5, 2022 3.30pm

gameweek 21

Maritimo

0-0

Estoril

Mendes (17'), Junior (25'), Guitane (90+4')

Lourenco (65'), Baro (84')
Soria (68')

Aug 27, 2021 9.15pm

gameweek 4

Estoril

2-1

Maritimo

Crespo (28'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (59')
Lourenco (10'), Carneiro Dias Resende Bruno (15'), Ferraresi (63'), Figueira (81'), Crespo (85'), Africo (90'), Jorge Tavares Oliveira (90+6')

Winck (45')
Vidigal (19'), Andrade (37'), Junior (49'), China (85'), Costa (88'), de Mello Costa (90+5')

Jan 27, 2021 8.15pm

Quarter-Finals

Maritimo

1-3

Estoril

Joel (29')
Correa (37'), Morais (40'), Winck (78'), Jean (90+5'), Kerkez (90+9'), Hermes (116')
Winck (102'), Costa (120')

Gamboa (90+10' pen.), Thierry Lazare (97'), Harramiz (109')
Crespo (76'), Empis (86'), Soria (113')

Apr 7, 2018 4pm

Estoril

1-1

Maritimo