Primeira Liga | Gameweek 33

May 21, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
2 - 2
Estoril

Cardoso (85' pen.), Godwin (90+6' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cassiano (74'), Alvaro (90+8')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Porto 2-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, May 14 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 2-0 Arouca
Monday, May 15 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Estoril Praia
44.56% ( -0.37)	26.07% ( 0.13)	29.38% ( 0.23)

Both teams to score 51.88% (

-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.76% (

-0.44)

52.24% (

0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.06% (

-0.38)

73.94% (

0.38)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.65% (

-0.36)

23.35% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.68% (

-0.53)

57.32% (

0.53)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.69% (

-0.06)

32.31% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

-0.06)

68.81% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 44.55%

Estoril Praia 29.38%

Draw 26.06%

Casa Pia	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 10.97% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.02% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.55%	1-1 @ 12.39% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.06%	0-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.66% Total : 29.38%