Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 21, 2023 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Felippe Cardoso 85' goal
  • Saviour Godwin 90'+6' goal
  • goal Cassiano 74'
  • goal Pedro Alvaro 90'+8'

Casa Pia vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2023 8.30pm
Porto 2 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Estoril Praia

All competitions
Last game
May 15, 2023 8.15pm
Estoril 2 - 0 Arouca
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Tiago Gouveia

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result

Casa Pia 44.56% (-0.37)
Draw 26.07% (+0.14)
Estoril Praia 29.38% (+0.24)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (-0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.76% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 52.24% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 26.06% (-0.38)
Under 3.5 73.94% (+0.38)
Over 4.5 12.04% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 87.96% (+0.25)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 76.65% (-0.37)
Under 0.5 23.35% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 42.68% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 57.32% (+0.53)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5 67.69% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 32.31% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 31.19% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 68.81% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 44.55%
Draw 26.06%
Estoril Praia 29.38%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.97% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.98% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.47% (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 1.41% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 44.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.39% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 7.54% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.06%
Estoril Praia
0-1 @ 8.52% (+0.14)
1-2 @ 7.01% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.82% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 2.64% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.92% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.81% (+0.03)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 29.38%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
  • Chico Geraldes 32' goal
  • Tiago Gouveia 77' goal