Primeira Liga | Gameweek 3

Aug 26, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
2 - 3
Benfica

Chabrol (74'), Dominguez (90+8')
Dominguez (17'), Tiba (29'), Carlos (78')

FT(HT: 0-1)

di Maria (19' pen.), Silva (53'), Musa (90+4')
Kokcu (45+4'), Luis (67'), Silva (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Gil Vicente
Saturday, August 19 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 2-0 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, August 19 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 59.64%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 18.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.05%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-0 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Benfica
18.71% ( -0.07)	21.66% ( -0.01)	59.64% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.21% (

-0.07)

43.79% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.82% (

-0.07)

66.18% (

0.07)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.84% (

-0.11)

37.16% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.06% (

-0.11)

73.95% (

0.11)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.71% (

14.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.89% (

42.11% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 18.71%

Benfica 59.63%

Draw 21.66%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 5.26% 2-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 18.71%	1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 10.33% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 10.05% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.52% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 6.45% 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.17% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.14% 2-4 @ 1.55% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0) 1-5 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.83% Total : 59.63%