Taca da Liga | First Round

Jul 22, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Carlos Osorio

UD Oliveirense
1 - 0
Gil Vicente

Schutte (66')
Kazu (26'), Casimiro (83'), Schurrle (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Marlon (23')

Coverage of the Taca da Liga First Round clash between UD Oliveirense and Gil Vicente.

Form, Standings, Stats

UD Oliveirense

Last Game: UD Oliveirense 0-3 Arouca
Saturday, December 10 at 8.45pm in Taca da Liga

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, May 27 at 12.45pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for UD Oliveirense had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.89%) and 0-2 (7.09%). The likeliest UD Oliveirense win was 2-1 (6.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
UD Oliveirense	Draw	Gil Vicente
28.46% ( -0.92)	23.07% ( 0.34)	48.47% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 61.33% (

-1.9)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.43% (

-2.21)

39.57% (

2.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.08% (

-2.34)

61.92% (

2.34)

UD Oliveirense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.53% (

-1.72)

26.47% (

1.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

-2.34)

61.66% (

2.35)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.41% (

-0.61)

16.59% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.6% (

-1.11)

46.4% (

1.12)

Score Analysis

UD Oliveirense 28.46%

Gil Vicente 48.47%

Draw 23.06%

UD Oliveirense	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 6.97% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.25% Total : 28.46%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.44) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.06%	1-2 @ 9.42% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.64) 0-2 @ 7.09% ( 0.44) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 3.75% ( -0.22) 1-4 @ 2.53% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.13) 1-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.42% Total : 48.47%