Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
Result | ||
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
50.37% ( -0.14) | 24.53% ( 0.03) | 25.09% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.37% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.29% ( -0.02) | 48.71% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.18% ( -0.02) | 70.82% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.64% ( -0.07) | 19.35% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.86% ( -0.11) | 51.14% ( 0.1) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.19% ( 0.08) | 33.81% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.52% ( 0.09) | 70.47% ( -0.1) |
Score Analysis |
Gil Vicente | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36% | 1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 13 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 8 | 32 | 33 |
2 | Benfica | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 31 | 7 | 24 | 31 |
3 | Porto | 13 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 31 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 13 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 24 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 18 |
9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 15 |
10 | Casa Pia | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 14 |
11 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 13 |
13 | Estrela Amadora | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 12 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 11 |
15 | AVS | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 11 |
16 | Nacional | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 9 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 23 | -16 | 8 |
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