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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34
May 27, 2023 at 12.45pm UK
Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Navarro (63')
Gomes (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kunimoto (84')
Soma (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Gil Vicente 1-1 Casa Pia

Casa Pia's performances have improved in recent weeks, but they have been unable to see out victories, and we see that trend continuing with a draw at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos on the final day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
50.37% (-0.144 -0.14) 24.53% (0.026 0.03) 25.09% (0.113 0.11)
Both teams to score 53.37% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.29% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)48.71% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)70.82% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Gil Vicente Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.64% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)19.35% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.86% (-0.106 -0.11)51.14% (0.102 0.1)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.19% (0.084000000000003 0.08)33.81% (-0.089000000000006 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.52% (0.091999999999999 0.09)70.47% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Gil Vicente 50.36%
    Casa Pia 25.09%
    Draw 24.53%
Gil VicenteDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 10.74% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.0089999999999986 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.24% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.84% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 50.36%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.008 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 7.1% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.022 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.88% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 25.09%

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Casa Pia

Gil Vicente
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Casa Pia
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2023 6pm
gameweek 17
Casa Pia
1-3
Gil Vicente
Martins (46')
Baro (44'), Martins (81')
Navarro (50', 62'), Carvalho (54')
Kritsyuk (72')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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