Primeira Liga | Gameweek 34

May 27, 2023 at 12.45pm UK

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Navarro (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Guimaraes 1-0 Gil Vicente
Sunday, May 21 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Casa Pia 2-2 Estoril
Sunday, May 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.37%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.82%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Casa Pia
50.37% ( -0.14)	24.53% ( 0.03)	25.09% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.37% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.29% (

-0.02)

48.71% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.18% (

-0.02)

70.82% (

0.01)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.64% (

-0.07)

19.35% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.86% (

-0.11)

51.14% (

0.1)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.08)

33.81% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

0.09)

70.47% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 50.36%

Casa Pia 25.09%

Draw 24.53%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Casa Pia
1-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.53%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.28% Total : 25.09%