Primeira Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos

Gil Vicente
5 - 0
Portimonense

Fujimoto (9' pen., 45+5'), Tiba (58'), Chabrol (72'), Pereira (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Portimonense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: UD Oliveirense 1-0 Gil Vicente
Saturday, July 22 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Portimonense

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Leixoes 0-0 Portimonense (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, July 30 at 11am in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 45.23%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gil Vicente would win this match.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Portimonense
45.23% ( -0.07)	26.85% ( 0.03)	27.91% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 48.66% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.02% (

-0.08)

55.98% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.92% (

-0.06)

77.07% (

0.06)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.33% (

-0.07)

24.67% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.81% (

-0.1)

59.19% (

0.09)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.59% (

-0.01)

35.4% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.83% (

-0.01)

72.17% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 45.23%

Portimonense 27.91%

Draw 26.85%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 12.22% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 45.23%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.85%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 2.04% Total : 27.91%