Primeira Liga | Gameweek 2

Aug 19, 2023 at 3.30pm UK

Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques

Guimaraes
2 - 1
Gil Vicente

Silva (62'), Luz (82')
Villanueva (69'), Silva (72'), Gaspar (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Baturina (55')
Gbane (40'), Marlon (44'), Pereira (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Estrela Amadora 0-1 Guimaraes
Sunday, August 13 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 5-0 Portimonense
Saturday, August 12 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 29.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
45.21% ( 0.16)	25.35% ( -0.05)	29.43% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 54.18% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.74% (

0.17)

49.26% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.68% (

0.15)

71.31% (

-0.15)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.22% (

0.14)

21.78% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.02% (

0.22)

54.97% (

-0.22)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.27% (

0.01)

30.73% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.01% (

0.01)

66.99% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.21%

Gil Vicente 29.43%

Draw 25.35%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 45.21%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.69% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 7.9% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 7.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.02% Total : 29.43%