Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4

Sep 2, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
4 - 0
Guimaraes

Fernandes (11' og.), di Maria (33'), Kokcu (45+5'), Aursnes (46')
Bah (31'), Otamendi (60')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Silva (17'), Silva (40'), Handel (79'), Freitas (90+4')
Mendes (19')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Gil Vicente 2-3 Benfica
Saturday, August 26 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, August 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
66.93% ( -0.33)	19.37% ( 0.14)	13.69% ( 0.19)

Both teams to score 50.13% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.98% (

-0.21)

43.02% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.58% (

-0.21)

65.42% (

0.21)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.07% (

-0.15)

11.92% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.72% (

-0.32)

37.28% (

0.33)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.92% (

0.15)

43.08% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.64% (

0.12)

79.36% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Benfica 66.92%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 13.69%

Draw 19.37%

Benfica	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 11.61% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.93% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 3.69% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.86% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.48% Total : 66.92%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 19.37%	0-1 @ 4.33% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 13.69%