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/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F12%2Fguilog.png)
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Jorge Fernandes
11'
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Alexander Bah
31'
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Angel di Maria
33'
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Fredrik Aursnes
46'
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Orkun Kokcu
45'+5'
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Nicolas Otamendi
60'
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Tiago Silva
17'
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Joao Mendes
19'
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Jota Silva
40'
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Tomas Handel
79'
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Afonso Freitas
90'+4'
Benfica vs Vitoria de Guimaraes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 66.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (4.33%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Benfica Goals
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Score analysis
1-0 @ 10.92% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 8.23% ▼ (-0.08)
3-1 @ 6.93% ▼ (-0.04)
4-0 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.07)
4-1 @ 3.69% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.92% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.86% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.55% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 66.92%
0-0 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 19.37%
1-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 13.69%