Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
41.75% (![]() | 27.1% (![]() | 31.15% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.6% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.43% (![]() | 55.57% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.26% (![]() | 76.74% (![]() |
Vizela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.75% (![]() | 26.25% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.64% (![]() | 61.36% (![]() |
Arouca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.26% (![]() | 32.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.7% (![]() | 69.3% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
1-0 @ 11.49% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.58% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.69% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.43% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.28% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 2.17% Total : 41.74% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.79% ( ![]() Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.09% | 0-1 @ 9.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.99% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.78% ( ![]() Other @ 2.59% Total : 31.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 78 | 25 | 53 | 72 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 3 | 4 | 74 | 25 | 49 | 72 |
3 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 25 | 26 | 63 |
4 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 41 | 32 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 30 | 14 | 5 | 11 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 47 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 43 |
8 | Casa Pia | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 41 |
9 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 38 | 48 | -10 | 39 |
10 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 35 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 33 | 48 | -15 | 33 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 30 | 45 | -15 | 33 |
13 | Nacional | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 29 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 22 | 43 | -21 | 26 |
16 | AVS | 30 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 23 | 49 | -26 | 24 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 20 | 41 | -21 | 21 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 20 | 47 | -27 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |