Primeira Liga
Gameweek
1
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-
Tiago Esgaio
4'
-
Morlaye Sylla
10'
-
Rafa Mujica
20'
-
Eboue Kouassi
21'
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Eboue Kouassi
37'
-
Cristo
57'
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Volnei Feltes
73'
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Pedro Santos
90'+6'
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Pedro Santos
90'+7'
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Jordan Holsgrove
10'
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Jordan Holsgrove
41'
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Joao Marques
49'
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Alejandro Marques
70'
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Rodrigo Gomes
90'+10'
Arouca vs Estoril Praia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 45.18%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
Result
Arouca
45.18%
▼
(-0.07)
Draw
27.27%
▲
(+0.13)
Estoril Praia
27.55%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
47.24%
▼
(-0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.31%
▼
(-0.48)
Under 2.5
57.69%
▲
(+0.48)
Over 3.5
21.55%
▼
(-0.38)
Under 3.5
78.45%
▲
(+0.38)
Over 4.5
9.24%
▼
(-0.23)
Under 4.5
90.75%
▲
(+0.23)
Arouca Goals
Over 0.5
74.54%
▼
(-0.25)
Under 0.5
25.46%
▲
(+0.25)
Over 1.5
39.71%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
60.29%
▲
(+0.34)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
63.37%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 0.5
36.63%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
26.58%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 1.5
73.42%
▲
(+0.31)
Score analysis
Arouca
45.17%
Draw
27.27%
Estoril Praia
27.55%
Arouca
1-0
@
12.75%
▲
(+0.14)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.17%
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.01% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 1.37% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 45.17%
Draw
1-1
@
12.81%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.27%
0-0 @ 9.33% ▲ (+0.17)
2-2 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 27.27%
Estoril Praia
0-1
@
9.37%
▲
(+0.10)
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 27.55%
1-2 @ 6.43% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.15% ▼ (-0.04)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 27.55%