Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 65.29%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for CF Os Belenenses had a probability of 14.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.52%), while for a CF Os Belenenses win it was 0-1 (4.6%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estoril Praia would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	CF Os Belenenses
65.29% ( -0.06)	20.04% ( 0.01)	14.67% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.5% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.12% (

0.05)

43.87% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.74% (

0.05)

66.26% (

-0.05)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.36% (

12.64% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.22% (

-0)

38.77% (

CF Os Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.8% (

0.1)

42.2% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.39% (

0.09)

78.61% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 65.28%

CF Os Belenenses 14.67%

Draw 20.04%

Estoril Praia	Draw	CF Os Belenenses
2-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.79% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.45% Other @ 3.2% Total : 65.28%	1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.94% Total : 20.04%	0-1 @ 4.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 14.67%